Paris Saint-Germain win 61%Draw 21%Lyon win 18%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Lyon (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 1st
- after 7 played
- Points
- 14
- won 4, drawn 2, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 59
- range 49–69
- Goals
- 13–5
- difference +8
Chances
- Title
- 6%
- 1st
- Top four
- 51%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 63%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 92%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 2nd (16%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6% | Title |
| 2nd | 16% | Top four |
| 3rd | 15% | Top four |
| 4th | 13% | Top four |
| 5th | 12% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 8% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 5% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Lyon's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)6% (was 8%)
Top four (1st–4th)51% (was 54%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points59 (was 59)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 6% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 5% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 6% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 6% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 8% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sat 31 October
Lyon win 68%Draw 20%Angers win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Brest win 31%Draw 25%Lyon win 44%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.4–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Lyon win 56% (what happened)Draw 24%Nice win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Fri 9 October
Lens win 44% (what happened)Draw 26%Lyon win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.3
Full timePrediction made