Lille win 45%Draw 28%Lyon win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 3rd (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2% | Title |
| 2nd | 10% | Top four |
| 3rd | 13% | Top four |
| 4th | 13% | Top four |
| 5th | 12% | Top five |
| 6th | 11% | |
| 7th | 10% | |
| 8th | 9% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 5% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 2% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Lyon's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)2% (was 8%)
Top four (1st–4th)37% (was 54%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points56 (was 59)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 2% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 56 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 3% | 49% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 3% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 3% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 3% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 3% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 3% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | 4% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | 6% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 6% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 6% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 6% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 5% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 6% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 6% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 6% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 8% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lille win 45%Draw 28%Lyon win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lyon win 46%Draw 24%Monaco win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Troyes win 19%Draw 24%Lyon win 57%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Brest win 32% (what happened)Draw 25%Lyon win 43%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.6
Full timePrediction made
Lyon win 67% (what happened)Draw 21%Angers win 12%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.0–0.7
Full timePrediction made
Paris Saint-Germain win 61% (what happened)Draw 21%Lyon win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.2–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Lyon win 56% (what happened)Draw 24%Nice win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0
Full timePrediction made