Angers win 29%Draw 29%Lorient win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 16th (23%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 6% | |
| 14th | 10% | |
| 15th | 17% | |
| 16th | 23% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 21% | Relegation |
| 18th | 14% | Relegation |
Angers's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)35% (was 26%)
Play-off place (16th)23% (was 16%)
Projected points31 (was 34)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 23% | 31 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 30% | 20% | 32 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 30% | 20% | 32 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 19% | 32 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 37% | 18% | 32 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 16% | 34 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 26% | 16% | 34 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Angers win 29%Draw 29%Lorient win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.0–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lyon win 68%Draw 20%Angers win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Angers win 29%Draw 29%Nice win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.0–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Angers win 20%Draw 25%Marseille win 55% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.7
Full timePrediction made
Brest win 51% (what happened)Draw 27%Angers win 22%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made