Toulouse win 66%Draw 20%Troyes win 14%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Troyes (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 17th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 4
- won 1, drawn 1, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 25
- range 16–35
- Goals
- 5–16
- difference −11
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- <1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 1%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 14%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 69%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 18th (45%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 4% | |
| 15th | 8% | |
| 16th | 14% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 24% | Relegation |
| 18th | 45% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Troyes's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 20 to 30.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)69% (was 59%)
Play-off place (16th)14% (was 13%)
Projected points25 (was 28)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 69% | 14% | 25 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 71% | 12% | 25 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 67% | 13% | 26 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 65% | 13% | 27 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 60% | 13% | 28 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 60% | 12% | 28 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 61% | 12% | 28 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sat 31 October
Troyes win 37%Draw 25%Le Mans win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Paris Saint-Germain win 88%Draw 8%Troyes win 4%
Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.5–0.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Troyes win 16%Draw 21%Lens win 63% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Troyes win 18%Draw 21%Marseille win 61% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.1–2.2
Full timePrediction made