Troyes win 38%Draw 29%Le Havre win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 17th (22%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 3% | |
| 13th | 5% | |
| 14th | 11% | |
| 15th | 17% | |
| 16th | 21% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 22% | Relegation |
| 18th | 19% | Relegation |
Troyes's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 20 to 30.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)41% (was 59%)
Play-off place (16th)21% (was 13%)
Projected points29 (was 28)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 41% | 21% | 29 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 45% | 19% | 29 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 48% | 19% | 28 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 49% | 18% | 28 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 48% | 19% | 29 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 50% | 19% | 29 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 64% | 15% | 26 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | <1% | 65% | 15% | 26 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 65% | 15% | 26 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 69% | 14% | 25 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 69% | 14% | 25 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 69% | 14% | 25 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 71% | 12% | 25 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 67% | 13% | 26 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 65% | 13% | 27 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 60% | 13% | 28 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 60% | 12% | 28 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 61% | 12% | 28 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Troyes win 38%Draw 29%Le Havre win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Nice win 59%Draw 24%Troyes win 17%
Most likely 1–0 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Troyes win 19%Draw 24%Lyon win 57%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 0.9–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Paris Saint-Germain win 87% (what happened)Draw 9%Troyes win 4%
Kick-off Most likely 3–0 (12%)Expected goals 3.3–0.6
Full timePrediction made
Troyes win 36% (what happened)Draw 27%Le Mans win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Toulouse win 66%Draw 20% (what happened)Troyes win 14%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Troyes win 16%Draw 21%Lens win 63% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.1
Full timePrediction made