Lens win 54%Draw 25%Toulouse win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lens (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 11th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 13
- won 4, drawn 1, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 53
- range 44–62
- Goals
- 17–15
- difference +2
Chances
- Title
- 1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 23%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 35%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 78%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 6th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1% | Title |
| 2nd | 5% | Top four |
| 3rd | 8% | Top four |
| 4th | 10% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 12% | |
| 7th | 11% | |
| 8th | 11% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 6% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 3% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Lens's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)1% (was 2%)
Top four (1st–4th)23% (was 25%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points53 (was 52)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 1% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 1% | 33% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 1% | 33% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 2% | 33% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 2% | 33% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 2% | 36% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 2% | 34% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | 3% | 42% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | 3% | 41% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 3% | 41% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 3% | 37% | <1% | <1% | 56 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 3% | 32% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 3% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 2% | 25% | <1% | 1% | 53 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sat 28 November
Angers win 18%Draw 25%Lens win 57%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Lens win 68%Draw 20%Le Havre win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (13%)Expected goals 2.1–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Lens win 46%Draw 24%Marseille win 30% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Fri 30 October
Lille win 41% (what happened)Draw 29%Lens win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Lens win 51% (what happened)Draw 25%Paris FC win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Troyes win 16%Draw 21%Lens win 63% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.1
Full timePrediction made