Lens win 51%Draw 25%Paris FC win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Lens (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 8th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 10
- won 3, drawn 1, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 56
- range 46–65
- Goals
- 14–11
- difference +3
Chances
- Title
- 3%
- 1st
- Top four
- 36%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 47%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 85%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 3rd (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 3% | Title |
| 2nd | 9% | Top four |
| 3rd | 12% | Top four |
| 4th | 12% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 12% | |
| 7th | 10% | |
| 8th | 9% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 5% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 3% | |
| 13th | 2% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Lens's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)3% (was 2%)
Top four (1st–4th)36% (was 25%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points56 (was 52)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 3% | 36% | <1% | <1% | 56 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 3% | 35% | <1% | <1% | 55 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 30% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 3% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 3% | 32% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 3% | 31% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 2% | 25% | <1% | 1% | 53 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Fri 30 October
Lille win 41%Draw 28%Lens win 31%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Lens win 46%Draw 24%Marseille win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.7–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Troyes win 16%Draw 21%Lens win 63% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 0–2 (11%)Expected goals 0.9–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Fri 9 October
Lens win 44% (what happened)Draw 26%Lyon win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.3
Full timePrediction made