Lille win 45%Draw 28%Lyon win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 2nd (27%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 6% | Title |
| 2nd | 27% | Top four |
| 3rd | 19% | Top four |
| 4th | 14% | Top four |
| 5th | 10% | Top five |
| 6th | 8% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Lille's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)6% (was 6%)
Top four (1st–4th)67% (was 49%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points62 (was 58)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 6% | 67% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 4% | 54% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 4% | 56% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | 4% | 56% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | 4% | 54% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 4% | 56% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 4% | 57% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | 4% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | 4% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 5% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 4% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 5% | 46% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 5% | 47% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 7% | 53% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 7% | 55% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 7% | 54% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 7% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 6% | 50% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lille win 45%Draw 28%Lyon win 27%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Le Mans win 19%Draw 26%Lille win 55%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lille win 61%Draw 24%Auxerre win 15%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Rennes win 36%Draw 27%Lille win 37% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Lille win 41% (what happened)Draw 29%Lens win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Monaco win 40%Draw 27% (what happened)Lille win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Lille win 57%Draw 24% (what happened)Brest win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9
Full timePrediction made