Marseille win 72%Draw 17%Le Mans win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (10%)Expected goals 2.6–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Le Mans (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 15th
- after 10 played
- Points
- 8
- won 1, drawn 5, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 31
- range 21–41
- Goals
- 12–19
- difference −7
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- <1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 2%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 19%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 34%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 15th (19%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 4% | |
| 13th | 7% | |
| 14th | 13% | |
| 15th | 19% | |
| 16th | 19% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 18% | Relegation |
| 18th | 16% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Le Mans's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 20 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)34% (was 28%)
Play-off place (16th)19% (was 13%)
Projected points31 (was 35)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 34% | 19% | 31 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 40% | 18% | 30 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 42% | 18% | 30 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 42% | 18% | 30 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 41% | 18% | 30 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 42% | 18% | 30 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 31% | 18% | 32 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | <1% | 33% | 17% | 32 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 33% | 18% | 32 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 17% | 32 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 18% | 32 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 36% | 17% | 31 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 38% | 16% | 31 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 39% | 16% | 31 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 26% | 13% | 35 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 26% | 14% | 35 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 29% | 13% | 35 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 27% | 13% | 35 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sat 28 November
Le Mans win 19%Draw 26%Lille win 55%
Most likely 0–1 (13%)Expected goals 0.8–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Paris FC win 64%Draw 21%Le Mans win 15%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.1–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
Le Mans win 21%Draw 22% (what happened)Monaco win 57%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.2–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Troyes win 36% (what happened)Draw 27%Le Mans win 37%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
Auxerre win 53%Draw 24% (what happened)Le Mans win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Fri 16 October
Le Mans win 33%Draw 26%Toulouse win 41% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made