Brest win 44%Draw 26%Nice win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (13%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 2% | Top four |
| 5th | 3% | Top five |
| 6th | 4% | |
| 7th | 5% | |
| 8th | 7% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 10% | |
| 11th | 12% | |
| 12th | 13% | |
| 13th | 12% | |
| 14th | 11% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 4% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 2% | Relegation |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
Brest's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)3% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)2% (was 8%)
Play-off place (16th)4% (was 8%)
Projected points43 (was 40)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 44 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 43 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 43 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 8% | 7% | 40 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 8% | 8% | 40 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Brest win 44%Draw 26%Nice win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lorient win 42%Draw 26%Brest win 32%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Brest win 31%Draw 25%Lyon win 44%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.4–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Lille win 57%Draw 24% (what happened)Brest win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Brest win 51% (what happened)Draw 27%Angers win 22%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made