Monaco win 40%Draw 27%Lille win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Monaco (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 5th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 14
- won 4, drawn 2, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 60
- range 50–70
- Goals
- 10–6
- difference +4
Chances
- Title
- 7%
- 1st
- Top four
- 55%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 66%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 94%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 2nd (19%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 7% | Title |
| 2nd | 19% | Top four |
| 3rd | 16% | Top four |
| 4th | 13% | Top four |
| 5th | 11% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 8% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 4% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 2% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Monaco's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)7% (was 15%)
Top four (1st–4th)55% (was 69%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points60 (was 62)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 7% | 55% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 11% | 66% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 12% | 65% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 12% | 64% | <1% | <1% | 61 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | 12% | 65% | <1% | <1% | 61 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 15% | 70% | <1% | <1% | 63 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 14% | 69% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sun 1 November
Paris FC win 39%Draw 25%Monaco win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
Le Mans win 21%Draw 21%Monaco win 58%
Most likely 1–2 (10%)Expected goals 1.2–2.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Lorient win 30% (what happened)Draw 25%Monaco win 45%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.4–1.7
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Monaco win 56%Draw 23% (what happened)Toulouse win 21%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.1
Full timePrediction made