Monaco win 62%Draw 21%Auxerre win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 14th (22%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 3% | |
| 11th | 5% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 13% | |
| 14th | 22% | |
| 15th | 19% | |
| 16th | 14% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 8% | Relegation |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
Auxerre's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)12% (was 12%)
Play-off place (16th)14% (was 9%)
Projected points36 (was 39)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 12% | 14% | 36 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 13% | 13% | 36 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 10% | 11% | 37 |
| 6 Nov | 2 Nov | <1% | <1% | 9% | 11% | 37 |
| 2 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 9% | 11% | 37 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 8% | 39 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 8% | 39 |
| 30 Oct | 26 Oct | <1% | 1% | 7% | 9% | 39 |
| 26 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 9% | 39 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 40 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 40 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 40 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 12% | 11% | 38 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 38 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 13% | 38 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 39 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 11% | 9% | 39 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 12% | 10% | 39 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Monaco win 62%Draw 21%Auxerre win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Auxerre win 25%Draw 23%Marseille win 52%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Lille win 61%Draw 24%Auxerre win 15%
Most likely 1–0 (14%)Expected goals 1.8–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Auxerre win 30%Draw 27%Paris FC win 43% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Strasbourg win 53% (what happened)Draw 24%Auxerre win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Auxerre win 53%Draw 24% (what happened)Le Mans win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Le Havre win 37%Draw 29%Auxerre win 34% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
Full timePrediction made