Auxerre win 53%Draw 24%Le Mans win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Auxerre (your team)
Ligue 1 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 12th
- after 7 played
- Points
- 9
- won 3, drawn 0, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 41
- range 31–51
- Goals
- 11–17
- difference −6
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 3%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 18%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 8%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 5%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 14th (15%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 3% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 11% | |
| 13th | 14% | |
| 14th | 15% | |
| 15th | 12% | |
| 16th | 8% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 4% | Relegation |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Auxerre's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)5% (was 12%)
Play-off place (16th)8% (was 9%)
Projected points41 (was 39)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 5% | 8% | 41 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 12% | 11% | 38 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 13% | 11% | 38 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 13% | 38 |
| 11 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 11% | 10% | 39 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 1% | 11% | 9% | 39 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 12% | 10% | 39 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sun 1 November
Strasbourg win 54%Draw 23%Auxerre win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Auxerre win 32%Draw 27%Paris FC win 41%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Le Havre win 37%Draw 29%Auxerre win 34% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.2–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 11 October
Rennes win 56% (what happened)Draw 23%Auxerre win 21%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.1
Full timePrediction made