RB Leipzig win 66%Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (8%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | 3% | Top four |
| 5th | 5% | Top five |
| 6th | 6% | |
| 7th | 7% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 8% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 6% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 5% | Relegation |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
SV Elversberg's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)6% (was 9%)
Relegation (17th–18th)9% (was 8%)
Play-off place (16th)6% (was 6%)
Projected points43 (was 44)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 6% | 9% | 6% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 43 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 4% | 14% | 8% | 40 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 4% | 14% | 8% | 40 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 4% | 14% | 8% | 40 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 43 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 44 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
RB Leipzig win 66%Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
SV Elversberg win 36%Draw 27%Mainz 05 win 37%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Borussia Dortmund win 71%Draw 18%SV Elversberg win 11%
Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.5–0.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
SV Elversberg win 39% (what happened)Draw 28%FC Augsburg win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
Full timePrediction made
Union Berlin win 38% (what happened)Draw 28%SV Elversberg win 34%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
Full timePrediction made