Union Berlin win 21%Draw 24%RB Leipzig win 55%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 3rd (30%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 2% | Title |
| 2nd | 20% | Top four |
| 3rd | 30% | Top four |
| 4th | 21% | Top four |
| 5th | 13% | Top five |
| 6th | 7% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
RB Leipzig's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)2% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)72% (was 44%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points62 (was 56)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 2% | 72% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 2% | 74% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 1% | 69% | <1% | <1% | 61 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | 2% | 69% | <1% | <1% | 61 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 2% | 69% | <1% | <1% | 61 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 1% | 64% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | 1% | 64% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 1% | 63% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 1% | 53% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 56% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 57% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 2% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 1% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 44% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Union Berlin win 21%Draw 24%RB Leipzig win 55%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
SC Freiburg win 33%Draw 25%RB Leipzig win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.5–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
RB Leipzig win 62%Draw 21%Mainz 05 win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
RB Leipzig win 66% (what happened)Draw 19%FC Augsburg win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Schalke 04 win 21%Draw 25%RB Leipzig win 54% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.7
Full timePrediction made
RB Leipzig win 66% (what happened)Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)Draw 16%RB Leipzig win 14%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 2.9–1.2
Full timePrediction made