RB Leipzig win 66%Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 4th (22%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1% | Title |
| 2nd | 10% | Top four |
| 3rd | 18% | Top four |
| 4th | 22% | Top four |
| 5th | 17% | Top five |
| 6th | 11% | |
| 7th | 7% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 2% | |
| 11th | 1% | |
| 12th | 1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
RB Leipzig's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 75% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)1% (was 1%)
Top four (1st–4th)52% (was 44%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points58 (was 56)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 1% | 52% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 1% | 51% | <1% | <1% | 58 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 2% | 56% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 2% | 57% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 2% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 1% | 45% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 1% | 44% | <1% | <1% | 57 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
RB Leipzig win 66%Draw 19%SV Elversberg win 15%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Schalke 04 win 21%Draw 25%RB Leipzig win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
RB Leipzig win 64%Draw 20%FC Augsburg win 16%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)Draw 16%RB Leipzig win 14%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 2.9–1.2
Full timePrediction made
RB Leipzig win 57% (what happened)Draw 21%Eintracht Frankfurt win 22%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.3–1.4
Full timePrediction made