Paderborn 07 win 41%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Hamburger SV (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 9th
- after 6 played
- Points
- 9
- won 3, drawn 0, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 39
- range 29–50
- Goals
- 6–15
- difference −9
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 3%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 23%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 9%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 15%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 13th (9%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 2% | Top five |
| 6th | 3% | |
| 7th | 5% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 7% | |
| 11th | 8% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 9% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 8% | Relegation |
| 18th | 7% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Hamburger SV's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)15% (was 40%)
Play-off place (16th)9% (was 14%)
Projected points39 (was 32)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 39 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 39 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 12% | 36 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 40% | 13% | 32 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 40% | 13% | 32 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 24 October
Sun 1 November
Eintracht Frankfurt win 57%Draw 22%Hamburger SV win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fri 6 November
Hamburger SV win 41%Draw 26%Borussia Mönchengladbach win 33%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Hamburger SV win 23% (what happened)Draw 24%VfB Stuttgart win 53%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.9
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
TSG Hoffenheim win 60%Draw 22%Hamburger SV win 18% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.1–1.1
Full timePrediction made