Werder Bremen win 50%Draw 26%Hamburger SV win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Hamburger SV (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 11th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 12
- won 4, drawn 0, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 38
- range 29–48
- Goals
- 10–20
- difference −10
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 2%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 19%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 9%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 14%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 13th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 3% | |
| 8th | 5% | |
| 9th | 7% | |
| 10th | 8% | |
| 11th | 9% | |
| 12th | 10% | |
| 13th | 11% | |
| 14th | 11% | |
| 15th | 10% | |
| 16th | 9% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 8% | Relegation |
| 18th | 6% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Hamburger SV's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)14% (was 40%)
Play-off place (16th)9% (was 14%)
Projected points38 (was 32)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 1% | 14% | 9% | 38 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 38 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 39 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 25% | 12% | 36 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 12% | 37 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 1% | 22% | 11% | 37 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 11% | 37 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 21% | 11% | 37 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 16% | 10% | 39 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 14% | 10% | 39 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 15% | 9% | 39 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 12% | 36 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 40% | 13% | 32 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 40% | 13% | 32 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sat 28 November
Hamburger SV win 8%Draw 14%Bayern Munich win 78%
Most likely 0–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.0–3.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Union Berlin win 42%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 29%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 6 November
Hamburger SV win 38% (what happened)Draw 27%Borussia Mönchengladbach win 35%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Eintracht Frankfurt win 57% (what happened)Draw 23%Hamburger SV win 20%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Paderborn 07 win 40% (what happened)Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 31%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Hamburger SV win 23% (what happened)Draw 24%VfB Stuttgart win 53%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.2–1.9
Full timePrediction made