Union Berlin win 21%Draw 24%RB Leipzig win 55%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.1–1.9
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Union Berlin (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 16th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 7
- won 1, drawn 4, lost 4
- Proj. pts
- 33
- range 24–42
- Goals
- 7–21
- difference −14
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- <1%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- <1%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 5%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 15%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 34%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 18th (18%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 2% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 4% | |
| 12th | 6% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 11% | |
| 15th | 13% | |
| 16th | 15% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 16% | Relegation |
| 18th | 18% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Union Berlin's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was <1%)
Relegation (17th–18th)34% (was 35%)
Play-off place (16th)15% (was 14%)
Projected points33 (was 33)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | <1% | 34% | 15% | 33 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | <1% | 30% | 14% | 34 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | <1% | 29% | 14% | 34 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | <1% | 29% | 14% | 35 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 13% | 35 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | <1% | 29% | 13% | 35 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 13% | 35 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 13% | 35 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | <1% | 29% | 14% | 35 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 14% | 35 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 13% | 35 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 13% | 35 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | <1% | 28% | 13% | 35 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | <1% | 27% | 13% | 35 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | <1% | 35% | 15% | 33 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | <1% | 35% | 14% | 33 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sat 28 November
Mainz 05 win 54%Draw 25%Union Berlin win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Union Berlin win 42%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 29%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.4–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
SC Freiburg win 57% (what happened)Draw 24%Union Berlin win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0
Full timePrediction made
Sun 1 November
Union Berlin win 42%Draw 28% (what happened)1. FC Köln win 30%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
FC Augsburg win 50%Draw 26% (what happened)Union Berlin win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Union Berlin win 17%Draw 23% (what happened)Borussia Dortmund win 60%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.0–2.0
Full timePrediction made