Bayer Leverkusen win 68%Draw 20%Paderborn 07 win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.2–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 17th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 4% | |
| 9th | 5% | |
| 10th | 6% | |
| 11th | 7% | |
| 12th | 9% | |
| 13th | 9% | |
| 14th | 10% | |
| 15th | 11% | |
| 16th | 11% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 12% | Relegation |
| 18th | 10% | Relegation |
Paderborn 07's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)22% (was 25%)
Play-off place (16th)11% (was 10%)
Projected points36 (was 36)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 1% | 22% | 11% | 36 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 1% | 23% | 12% | 36 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 23% | 12% | 36 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 1% | 24% | 12% | 36 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 1% | 27% | 11% | 36 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 12% | 36 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 11% | 36 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 34 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 34% | 12% | 34 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 34 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 33 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 33 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 37% | 12% | 33 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 26% | 11% | 36 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 25% | 10% | 36 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Bayer Leverkusen win 68%Draw 20%Paderborn 07 win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.2–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Paderborn 07 win 43%Draw 32%Schalke 04 win 25%
Most likely 1–0 (15%)Expected goals 1.2–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bayern Munich win 87%Draw 9%Paderborn 07 win 4%
Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.4–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Paderborn 07 win 32%Draw 28% (what happened)Eintracht Frankfurt win 40%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.2–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Borussia Mönchengladbach win 49%Draw 26% (what happened)Paderborn 07 win 25%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Paderborn 07 win 40% (what happened)Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 31%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Werder Bremen win 49%Draw 28% (what happened)Paderborn 07 win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made