Paderborn 07 win 41%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 18th (19%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 5% | |
| 12th | 6% | |
| 13th | 7% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 11% | |
| 16th | 13% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 14% | Relegation |
| 18th | 19% | Relegation |
Paderborn 07's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)34% (was 25%)
Play-off place (16th)13% (was 10%)
Projected points34 (was 36)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 1% | 34% | 13% | 34 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 34 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 33 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 36% | 12% | 33 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 37% | 12% | 33 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 26% | 11% | 36 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 25% | 10% | 36 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Paderborn 07 win 41%Draw 29%Hamburger SV win 30%
Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Borussia Mönchengladbach win 49%Draw 26%Paderborn 07 win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Paderborn 07 win 32%Draw 26%Eintracht Frankfurt win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Werder Bremen win 49%Draw 28% (what happened)Paderborn 07 win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Paderborn 07 win 24%Draw 26%VfB Stuttgart win 50% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.1–1.7
Full timePrediction made