SV Elversberg win 36%Draw 26%SC Freiburg win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 5th (19%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | 3% | Top four |
| 3rd | 9% | Top four |
| 4th | 14% | Top four |
| 5th | 19% | Top five |
| 6th | 17% | |
| 7th | 13% | |
| 8th | 9% | |
| 9th | 6% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 3% | |
| 12th | 2% | |
| 13th | 1% | |
| 14th | 1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
SC Freiburg's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 50 to 60.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)26% (was 19%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was 1%)
Projected points54 (was 51)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 26% | <1% | <1% | 54 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 24% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 23% | <1% | <1% | 53 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 18% | 1% | 1% | 51 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 19% | 1% | 1% | 51 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | <1% | 52 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 21% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 1% | 51 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 23% | <1% | 1% | 52 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | <1% | 52 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 20% | <1% | <1% | 52 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 51 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 19% | <1% | 1% | 51 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 19% | <1% | 1% | 51 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
SV Elversberg win 36%Draw 26%SC Freiburg win 38%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
SC Freiburg win 33%Draw 25%RB Leipzig win 42%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.5–1.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
SC Freiburg win 49%Draw 23%TSG Hoffenheim win 28%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.0–1.5
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
SC Freiburg win 57% (what happened)Draw 24%Union Berlin win 19%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.0
Full timePrediction made
FC Augsburg win 39%Draw 26%SC Freiburg win 35% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
Full timePrediction made
SC Freiburg win 15%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 68% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.3–2.7
Full timePrediction made
Bayer Leverkusen win 62% (what happened)Draw 20%SC Freiburg win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.2
Full timePrediction made