1. FC Köln win 46%Draw 28%Schalke 04 win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 18th (21%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 1% | |
| 7th | 1% | |
| 8th | 2% | |
| 9th | 3% | |
| 10th | 4% | |
| 11th | 5% | |
| 12th | 6% | |
| 13th | 7% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 10% | |
| 16th | 13% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 16% | Relegation |
| 18th | 21% | Relegation |
Schalke 04's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 50% at the top; projected points from 30 to 40.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)<1% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)37% (was 24%)
Play-off place (16th)13% (was 11%)
Projected points33 (was 36)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | <1% | 37% | 13% | 33 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | <1% | 37% | 13% | 33 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 1% | 29% | 12% | 35 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 1% | 29% | 11% | 35 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 1% | 28% | 11% | 35 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 2% | 24% | 11% | 36 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 1% | 24% | 12% | 36 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
1. FC Köln win 46%Draw 28%Schalke 04 win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Schalke 04 win 21%Draw 25%RB Leipzig win 54%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.0–1.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
TSG Hoffenheim win 58%Draw 23%Schalke 04 win 19%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 2.0–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Schalke 04 win 30%Draw 29%Mainz 05 win 41% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.4
Full timePrediction made
SC Freiburg win 57% (what happened)Draw 25%Schalke 04 win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–0.9
Full timePrediction made