FC Augsburg win 40%Draw 26%Mainz 05 win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Mainz 05 (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 12th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 10
- won 3, drawn 1, lost 5
- Proj. pts
- 43
- range 33–52
- Goals
- 18–19
- difference −1
Chances
- Title
- <1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 2%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 5%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 40%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- 4%
- 16th
- Relegation
- 3%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 10th (12%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 3% | Top five |
| 6th | 6% | |
| 7th | 8% | |
| 8th | 10% | |
| 9th | 11% | |
| 10th | 12% | |
| 11th | 11% | |
| 12th | 10% | |
| 13th | 8% | |
| 14th | 7% | |
| 15th | 5% | |
| 16th | 4% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 2% | Relegation |
| 18th | 1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Mainz 05's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)2% (was 9%)
Relegation (17th–18th)3% (was 1%)
Play-off place (16th)4% (was 2%)
Projected points43 (was 47)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 43 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 2% | 4% | 4% | 43 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 43 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 43 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 43 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 43 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 46 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 46 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 10% | 1% | 2% | 48 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 48 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 9% | 1% | 2% | 48 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 46 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 2% | 46 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 46 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 47 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 9% | 2% | 2% | 47 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 22 November
Sat 28 November
Mainz 05 win 54%Draw 25%Union Berlin win 21%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
RB Leipzig win 62%Draw 21%Mainz 05 win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Mainz 05 win 13%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.2–2.8
Full timePrediction made
Fri 30 October
SV Elversberg win 34% (what happened)Draw 26%Mainz 05 win 40%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.4–1.5
Full timePrediction made
Sat 24 October
Mainz 05 win 52%Draw 25%Werder Bremen win 23% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Schalke 04 win 30%Draw 29%Mainz 05 win 41% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (14%)Expected goals 1.1–1.4
Full timePrediction made