TSG Hoffenheim win 28%Draw 22%Bayer Leverkusen win 50%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 1.6–2.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bayer Leverkusen (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 4th
- after 6 played
- Points
- 13
- won 4, drawn 1, lost 1
- Proj. pts
- 65
- range 55–74
- Goals
- 16–9
- difference +7
Chances
- Title
- 4%
- 1st
- Top four
- 82%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 91%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 99%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 3rd (31%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 4% | Title |
| 2nd | 30% | Top four |
| 3rd | 31% | Top four |
| 4th | 17% | Top four |
| 5th | 9% | Top five |
| 6th | 5% | |
| 7th | 2% | |
| 8th | 1% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Bayer Leverkusen's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 60 to 70.
Title (1st)4% (was 2%)
Top four (1st–4th)82% (was 72%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points65 (was 62)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 4% | 82% | <1% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 4% | 79% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 5% | 76% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 5% | 76% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 5% | 77% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 2% | 72% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 2% | 73% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sat 31 October
Bayer Leverkusen win 54%Draw 22%VfB Stuttgart win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.1–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sun 8 November
1. FC Köln win 21%Draw 22%Bayer Leverkusen win 57%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.2–2.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 18 October
Bayer Leverkusen win 62% (what happened)Draw 20%SC Freiburg win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
Mainz 05 win 28%Draw 26%Bayer Leverkusen win 46% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.3–1.7
Full timePrediction made