Bayer Leverkusen win 68%Draw 20%Paderborn 07 win 12%
Most likely 2–0 (12%)Expected goals 2.2–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bayer Leverkusen (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 5th
- after 9 played
- Points
- 16
- won 5, drawn 1, lost 3
- Proj. pts
- 60
- range 51–70
- Goals
- 20–17
- difference +3
Chances
- Title
- 1%
- 1st
- Top four
- 61%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- 78%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- 98%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 4th (25%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 50%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 1% | Title |
| 2nd | 12% | Top four |
| 3rd | 23% | Top four |
| 4th | 25% | Top four |
| 5th | 17% | Top five |
| 6th | 10% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 3% | |
| 9th | 1% | |
| 10th | 1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Bayer Leverkusen's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 50 to 70.
Title (1st)1% (was 2%)
Top four (1st–4th)61% (was 72%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points60 (was 62)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 1% | 61% | <1% | <1% | 60 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 1% | 58% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 1% | 60% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | 1% | 59% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 1% | 59% | <1% | <1% | 59 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 1% | 75% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | 2% | 75% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 4% | 83% | <1% | <1% | 65 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 4% | 84% | <1% | <1% | 65 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 4% | 83% | <1% | <1% | 65 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 4% | 79% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 5% | 76% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 5% | 76% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 5% | 77% | <1% | <1% | 64 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 2% | 72% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 2% | 73% | <1% | <1% | 62 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 21 November
Sun 29 November
Borussia Dortmund win 52%Draw 24%Bayer Leverkusen win 24%
Most likely 1–1 (11%)Expected goals 1.9–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 5 December
Bayer Leverkusen win 70%Draw 17%Borussia Mönchengladbach win 13%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.6–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 8 November
1. FC Köln win 23%Draw 23%Bayer Leverkusen win 54% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.2–2.0
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Bayer Leverkusen win 54%Draw 22%VfB Stuttgart win 24% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.2–1.4
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
TSG Hoffenheim win 28% (what happened)Draw 22%Bayer Leverkusen win 50%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 1.6–2.1
Full timePrediction made
Sun 18 October
Bayer Leverkusen win 62% (what happened)Draw 20%SC Freiburg win 18%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.2
Full timePrediction made