Mainz 05 win 52%Draw 25%Werder Bremen win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (10%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | 1% | Top four |
| 5th | 3% | Top five |
| 6th | 5% | |
| 7th | 6% | |
| 8th | 8% | |
| 9th | 9% | |
| 10th | 10% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 10% | |
| 13th | 10% | |
| 14th | 9% | |
| 15th | 7% | |
| 16th | 5% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 4% | Relegation |
| 18th | 2% | Relegation |
Werder Bremen's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 40 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)2% (was 2%)
Relegation (17th–18th)6% (was 7%)
Play-off place (16th)5% (was 6%)
Projected points42 (was 41)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 42 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 42 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 43 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 43 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 43 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 42 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 41 |
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Mainz 05 win 52%Draw 25%Werder Bremen win 23%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.8–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Werder Bremen win 40%Draw 24%TSG Hoffenheim win 36%
Most likely 1–1 (10%)Expected goals 1.7–1.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
VfB Stuttgart win 63%Draw 20%Werder Bremen win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.3–1.1
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Werder Bremen win 49%Draw 28% (what happened)Paderborn 07 win 23%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.5–0.9
Full timePrediction made
Borussia Dortmund win 71%Draw 18% (what happened)Werder Bremen win 11%
Kick-off Most likely 2–0 (11%)Expected goals 2.4–0.9
Full timePrediction made