Bayern Munich win 89%Draw 8%1. FC Köln win 3%
Most likely 3–0 (9%)Expected goals 3.9–0.8
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bayern Munich (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Now and projected
- Position
- 1st
- after 9 played
- Points
- 21
- won 6, drawn 3, lost 0
- Proj. pts
- 82
- range 74–89
- Goals
- 29–9
- difference +20
Chances
- Title
- 90%
- 1st
- Top four
- >99%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- >99%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 1st (90%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 100%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 90% | Title |
| 2nd | 9% | Top four |
| 3rd | 1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Bayern Munich's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 90.
Title (1st)90% (was 84%)
Top four (1st–4th)>99% (was >99%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points82 (was 82)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | 90% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | 89% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | 89% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | 89% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | 91% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | 90% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | 87% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 89% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 82% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 81% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 81% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 85% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
Next matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Fri 20 November
Sat 28 November
Hamburger SV win 8%Draw 14%Bayern Munich win 78%
Most likely 0–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.0–3.0
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Fri 4 December
Bayern Munich win 87%Draw 9%Paderborn 07 win 4%
Most likely 3–0 (11%)Expected goals 3.4–0.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 7 November
Mainz 05 win 13%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.2–2.8
Full timePrediction made
Sat 31 October
Bayern Munich win 64%Draw 19% (what happened)Borussia Dortmund win 17%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sun 25 October
SC Freiburg win 15%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 68% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.3–2.7
Full timePrediction made
Sat 17 October
Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)Draw 16%RB Leipzig win 14%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 2.9–1.2
Full timePrediction made