SC Freiburg win 15%Draw 17%Bayern Munich win 68%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.3–2.7
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
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Bayern Munich (your team)
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 18 Oct
Now and projected
- Position
- 1st
- after 6 played
- Points
- 14
- won 4, drawn 2, lost 0
- Proj. pts
- 81
- range 73–89
- Goals
- 22–5
- difference +17
Chances
- Title
- 88%
- 1st
- Top four
- >99%
- 1st–4th
- Top five
- >99%
- 1st–5th
- Top half
- >99%
- 1st–9th
- Play-off place
- <1%
- 16th
- Relegation
- <1%
- 17th–18th
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Finishing position
Most likely: 1st (88%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 100%.
- Title (1st)
- Top four (1st–4th)
- Top five (1st–5th)
- Play-off place (16th)
- Relegation (17th–18th)
Show the numbers
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | 88% | Title |
| 2nd | 10% | Top four |
| 3rd | 2% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | <1% | Top five |
| 6th | <1% | |
| 7th | <1% | |
| 8th | <1% | |
| 9th | <1% | |
| 10th | <1% | |
| 11th | <1% | |
| 12th | <1% | |
| 13th | <1% | |
| 14th | <1% | |
| 15th | <1% | |
| 16th | <1% | Play-off place |
| 17th | <1% | Relegation |
| 18th | <1% | Relegation |
Chances over time
Bayern Munich's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 22 Oct. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 100% at the top; projected points from 70 to 90.
Title (1st)88% (was 84%)
Top four (1st–4th)>99% (was >99%)
Relegation (17th–18th)<1% (was <1%)
Play-off place (16th)<1% (was <1%)
Projected points81 (was 82)
Show the numbers
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct | 18 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | 89% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 81 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | 82% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | 81% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | 81% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 80 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | 88% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | 85% | >99% | <1% | <1% | 82 |
Next matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sun 25 October
Sat 31 October
Bayern Munich win 64%Draw 19%Borussia Dortmund win 17%
Most likely 2–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.5–1.3
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Sat 7 November
Mainz 05 win 15%Draw 18%Bayern Munich win 67%
Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.2–2.6
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Recent matches
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
Sat 17 October
Bayern Munich win 70% (what happened)Draw 16%RB Leipzig win 14%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (8%)Expected goals 2.9–1.2
Full timePrediction made
Sat 10 October
FC Augsburg win 11%Draw 15% (what happened)Bayern Munich win 74%
Kick-off Most likely 1–2 (9%)Expected goals 1.1–2.9
Full timePrediction made