FC Augsburg win 40%Draw 26%Mainz 05 win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Bundesliga 2026-27
Updated
Results up to 8 Nov
Proj. pts: average final points across 10,000 simulated seasons; range: 80% of them end between these totals. Chances are the share of simulated seasons that end in that zone; “<1%” is rare, not impossible.
Most likely: 12th (11%)
Chance of each finishing position, from 10,000 simulated seasons. Bars run from 0 to 25%.
| Position | Chance | Zone |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | <1% | Title |
| 2nd | <1% | Top four |
| 3rd | <1% | Top four |
| 4th | <1% | Top four |
| 5th | 1% | Top five |
| 6th | 2% | |
| 7th | 4% | |
| 8th | 6% | |
| 9th | 8% | |
| 10th | 9% | |
| 11th | 10% | |
| 12th | 11% | |
| 13th | 11% | |
| 14th | 10% | |
| 15th | 9% | |
| 16th | 8% | Play-off place |
| 17th | 6% | Relegation |
| 18th | 4% | Relegation |
FC Augsburg's chances after each update, 29 Sept to 12 Nov. The chance panels all run from 0% at the bottom to 25% at the top; projected points from 30 to 50.
Title (1st)<1% (was <1%)
Top four (1st–4th)1% (was 3%)
Relegation (17th–18th)10% (was 5%)
Play-off place (16th)8% (was 5%)
Projected points39 (was 43)
| Updated | Results up to | Title | Top four | Relegation | Play-off place | Proj. pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov | 8 Nov | <1% | 1% | 10% | 8% | 39 |
| 8 Nov | 7 Nov | <1% | 1% | 10% | 8% | 39 |
| 7 Nov | 6 Nov | <1% | 1% | 9% | 7% | 40 |
| 6 Nov | 1 Nov | <1% | 1% | 9% | 7% | 40 |
| 1 Nov | 31 Oct | <1% | 1% | 8% | 7% | 40 |
| 31 Oct | 30 Oct | <1% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 42 |
| 30 Oct | 25 Oct | <1% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 42 |
| 25 Oct | 24 Oct | <1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 42 |
| 24 Oct | 23 Oct | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43 |
| 23 Oct | 18 Oct | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43 |
| 18 Oct | 17 Oct | <1% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 43 |
| 17 Oct | 16 Oct | <1% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 44 |
| 16 Oct | 11 Oct | <1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 44 |
| 12 Oct | 10 Oct | <1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 44 |
| 10 Oct | 9 Oct | <1% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 43 |
| 9 Oct | 20 Sept | <1% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 43 |
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
FC Augsburg win 40%Draw 26%Mainz 05 win 34%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.6–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
TSG Hoffenheim win 53%Draw 22%FC Augsburg win 25%
Most likely 1–1 (9%)Expected goals 2.1–1.4
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
FC Augsburg win 49%Draw 25%1. FC Köln win 26%
Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.2
UpcomingPrediction as of · locks at kick-off
Home, Draw and Away are the chance of each result. Most likely is the single likeliest score, which can be a draw even when one team is favoured. ✓ marks what happened.
Times in UTC.Kick-off times can still change.
RB Leipzig win 66% (what happened)Draw 19%FC Augsburg win 15%
Kick-off Most likely 2–1 (10%)Expected goals 2.4–1.0
Full timePrediction made
FC Augsburg win 39%Draw 26%SC Freiburg win 35% (what happened)
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.5–1.5
Full timePrediction made
FC Augsburg win 50%Draw 26% (what happened)Union Berlin win 24%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (12%)Expected goals 1.7–1.1
Full timePrediction made
SV Elversberg win 39% (what happened)Draw 28%FC Augsburg win 33%
Kick-off Most likely 1–1 (13%)Expected goals 1.4–1.3
Full timePrediction made